📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina
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Analysis from Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina for the Israel Leumit Liga – 17 of January
🏟️ Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv X Maccabi Bnei Raina – Israel Leumit Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina
Is betting on Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv worth it?
🔵 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 590 times – profiting $486.75;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$76.75.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is betting on Maccabi Bnei Raina worth it?
🔴 Maccabi Bnei Raina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$461.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv x Maccabi Bnei Raina
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves