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23/11/2023 00:10 |
 Boca Juniors2.35 |
X 3.15 |
Estudiantes LP  3.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP:
๐ฎ Boca Juniors wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boca Juniors, you can win up to $1175.00!
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The main points for the tip for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP
Looking for another bookie to bet on Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP for the Argentina Cup – 23 of November
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๐๏ธ Boca Juniors X Estudiantes LP – Argentina Cup |
When the best bet on Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024629 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP
Is it a good idea to bet on Boca Juniors?
๐ต Boca Juniors: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 700 times – profiting $945.00;
- And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$645.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $236.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$653.50.
Is it worth betting on Estudiantes LP?
๐ด Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$430.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Boca Juniors
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Boca Juniors and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Boca Juniors.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Boca Juniors.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors x Estudiantes LP
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
