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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves Betting tips for October 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 19h00 Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Boca Juniors Reserves Boca Juniors Reserves
PREDICTION No tip
Godoy Cruz Reserves Godoy Cruz Reserves
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Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves Betting tips for October 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves

Our betting tip for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
19:00
Boca Juniors Reserves Boca Juniors Reserves
1.58
X
3.25
Godoy Cruz Reserves Godoy Cruz Reserves
5.57

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves

The main points for the tip for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Godoy Cruz Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ Godoy Cruz Reserves did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Boca Juniors Reserves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Godoy Cruz Reserves matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves, with Boca Juniors Reserves as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves for the Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves – 2 of October

🏟️ Boca Juniors Reserves X Godoy Cruz Reserves – Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Boca Juniors Reserves – Winning probability: 63.96% | Fair line: 1.56
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.75% | Fair line: 3.6
πŸ”΄ Godoy Cruz Reserves – Winning probability: 8.28% | Fair line: 12.07
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Boca Juniors Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves

Is it a good idea to bet on Boca Juniors Reserves?

πŸ”΅ Boca Juniors Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $371.20
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$11.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Godoy Cruz Reserves?

πŸ”΄ Godoy Cruz Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $365.60;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$554.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Boca Juniors Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Boca Juniors Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Boca Juniors Reserves. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boca Juniors Reserves x Godoy Cruz Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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