Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom Betting tips for December 1 in Norway Eliteserien

Our betting tip for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 16:00

Bodo/Glimt 1.14

X 7.95

Lillestrom 14.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom:

🔮 Bodo/Glimt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bodo/Glimt, you can win up to $570.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bodo/Glimt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $27.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lillestrom in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lillestrom, Bodo/Glimt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Bodo/Glimt matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Lillestrom matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lillestrom conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Bodo/Glimt conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lillestrom. 👉 It is not a good time for Lillestrom as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom for the Norway Eliteserien – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom

Is it worth betting on Bodo/Glimt?

🔵 Bodo/Glimt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $138.60
• And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $69.50
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$920.50.

Is it worth betting on Lillestrom?

🔴 Lillestrom: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 14.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Bodo/Glimt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.5 Bodo/Glimt and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Bodo/Glimt.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.25 Bodo/Glimt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bodo/Glimt x Lillestrom

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.