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Home » Predictions » Others » Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey Super Lig
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Turkey Super Lig
Bodrum BLD Spor Bodrum BLD Spor
PREDICTION Bodrum BLD Spor wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Bodrum BLD Spor Bodrum BLD Spor
1.82
X
3.60
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
4.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor:

🔮 Bodrum BLD Spor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bodrum BLD Spor, you can win up to $910.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bodrum BLD Spor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adana Demirspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bodrum BLD Spor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Adana Demirspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor:

Analysis from Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 29 of September

🏟️ Bodrum BLD Spor X Adana Demirspor – Turkey Super Lig
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Bodrum BLD Spor – Winning probability: 60.72% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.21% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Adana Demirspor – Winning probability: 15.06% | Fair line: 6.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bodrum BLD Spor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor

Should you bet on Bodrum BLD Spor?

🔵 Bodrum BLD Spor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $500.20;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$110.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on Adana Demirspor?

🔴 Adana Demirspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bodrum BLD Spor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Bodrum BLD Spor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bodrum BLD Spor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bodrum BLD Spor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bodrum BLD Spor x Adana Demirspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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