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Bognor Regis Town x South Park Betting tips for November 22 in England FA Trophy

Our betting tip for Bognor Regis Town x South Park, Wednesday, 22/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2023
19:45
Bognor Regis Town Bognor Regis Town
1.60
X
4.05
South Park South Park
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bognor Regis Town x South Park:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bognor Regis Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bognor Regis Town, you can win up to $800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bognor Regis Town x South Park:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bognor Regis Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $497.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on South Park in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bognor Regis Town did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bognor Regis Town scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, South Park scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 South Park matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, South Park conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bognor Regis Town is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for South Park as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Bognor Regis Town x South Park

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bognor Regis Town x South Park:

Analysis from Bognor Regis Town x South Park for the England FA Trophy – 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bognor Regis Town X South Park – England FA Trophy
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Bognor Regis Town – Winning probability: 85.00% | Fair line: 1.18
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.20% | Fair line: 12.2
๐Ÿ”ด South Park – Winning probability: 6.80% | Fair line: 14.7
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bognor Regis Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bognor Regis Town x South Park right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024629 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bognor Regis Town x South Park

Should you bet on Bognor Regis Town?

๐Ÿ”ต Bognor Regis Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$360.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $244.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$676.00.

Is betting on South Park worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด South Park: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $224.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$706.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bognor Regis Town x South Park

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bognor Regis Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bognor Regis Town x South Park

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Bognor Regis Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bognor Regis Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bognor Regis Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bognor Regis Town x South Park

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves