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Home » Predictions » Others » Bollullos CF x Cartaya Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 10
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 10
Bollullos CF Bollullos CF
PREDICTION Bollullos CF wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Cartaya Cartaya
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Bollullos CF x Cartaya Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 10

Our betting tip for Bollullos CF x Cartaya, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
Bollullos CF Bollullos CF
2.00
X
3.20
Cartaya Cartaya
3.31

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bollullos CF x Cartaya:

🔮 Bollullos CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bollullos CF, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bollullos CF x Cartaya:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bollullos CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cartaya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 Bollullos CF matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Cartaya matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cartaya conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bollullos CF x Cartaya for the Spain Tercera Group 10 – 1 of December

🏟️ Bollullos CF X Cartaya – Spain Tercera Group 10
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Bollullos CF – Winning probability: 55.21% | Fair line: 1.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.49% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 Cartaya – Winning probability: 16.29% | Fair line: 6.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bollullos CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bollullos CF x Cartaya right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bollullos CF x Cartaya

Should you bet on Bollullos CF?

🔵 Bollullos CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Should you bet on Cartaya?

🔴 Cartaya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $369.60;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$470.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bollullos CF x Cartaya

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bollullos CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bollullos CF x Cartaya

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bollullos CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bollullos CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Cartaya.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bollullos CF x Cartaya

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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