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21/11/2023 23:00 |
 Bonaire4.11 |
X 3.81 |
Saint Martin  1.69 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bonaire x Saint Martin:
๐ฎ Saint Martin wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Saint Martin, you can win up to $845.00!
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The main points for the tip for Bonaire x Saint Martin: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Bonaire in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bonaire x Saint Martin
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bonaire x Saint Martin?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2023, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Bonaire x Saint Martin for the CONCACAF Nations League – 21 of November
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๐๏ธ Bonaire X Saint Martin – CONCACAF Nations League |
When the best bet on Bonaire x Saint Martin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bonaire x Saint Martin
Is betting on Bonaire worth it?
๐ต Bonaire: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $311.00
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$589.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $590.10;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$199.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on Saint Martin?
๐ด Saint Martin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $476.10;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$166.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bonaire x Saint Martin
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Bonaire
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bonaire x Saint Martin
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Bonaire and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Bonaire.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Bonaire.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bonaire x Saint Martin
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
