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Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife Betting tips for November 21 in Scotland League Two

Our betting tip for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
πŸ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Bonnyrigg Rose Bonnyrigg Rose
2.29
X
3.30
East Fife East Fife
2.73

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

The main points for the tip for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bonnyrigg Rose in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on East Fife in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bonnyrigg Rose conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

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Summary

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Analysis from Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife for the Scotland League Two – 21 of November

🏟️ Bonnyrigg Rose X East Fife – Scotland League Two
πŸ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Bonnyrigg Rose – Winning probability: 31.10% | Fair line: 3.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.20% | Fair line: 3.82
πŸ”΄ East Fife – Winning probability: 42.70% | Fair line: 2.34
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Bonnyrigg Rose
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

Should you bet on Bonnyrigg Rose?

πŸ”΅ Bonnyrigg Rose: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $399.90;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$290.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$142.00.

Is betting on East Fife worth it?

πŸ”΄ East Fife: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $743.90
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$173.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Bonnyrigg Rose
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Bonnyrigg Rose, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bonnyrigg Rose.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 East Fife.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bonnyrigg Rose x East Fife

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves