📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Boreham Wood x Weymouth
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Analysis from Boreham Wood x Weymouth for the England National League – 22 of January
🏟️ Boreham Wood X Weymouth – England National League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boreham Wood x Weymouth right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Boreham Wood x Weymouth
Is betting on Boreham Wood worth it?
🔵 Boreham Wood: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$595.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Weymouth?
🔴 Weymouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $338.40;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$601.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Boreham Wood x Weymouth
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Boreham Wood
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boreham Wood x Weymouth
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Boreham Wood and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Boreham Wood.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Weymouth.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boreham Wood x Weymouth
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves