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Home » Predictions » Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves Betting tips for April 14 in Uruguay Reserve League
Monday, 14 April 2025, 19h00 Uruguay Reserve League
Boston River Reserves Boston River Reserves
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Penarol Reserves Penarol Reserves
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves Betting tips for April 14 in Uruguay Reserve League

Our betting tip for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
19:00
Boston River Reserves Boston River Reserves
2.52
X
3.15
Penarol Reserves Penarol Reserves
2.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!

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The main points for the tip for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Boston River Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Penarol Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Boston River Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Boston River Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Boston River Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Penarol Reserves.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Penarol Reserves has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves for the Uruguay Reserve League – 14 of April

🏟️ Boston River Reserves X Penarol Reserves – Uruguay Reserve League
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Boston River Reserves – Winning probability: 28.71% | Fair line: 3.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.26% | Fair line: 2.68
🔴 Penarol Reserves – Winning probability: 34.04% | Fair line: 2.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Boston River Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boston River Reserves and Penarol Reserves.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1303016 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves

Is betting on Boston River Reserves worth it?

🔵 Boston River Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $440.80
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $795.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$165.50.

Should you bet on Penarol Reserves?

🔴 Penarol Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $547.40;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Boston River Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Boston River Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Boston River Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Penarol Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boston River Reserves x Penarol Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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