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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Botafogo x Flamengo Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Supercopa
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 19h00 Brazil Supercopa
Botafogo Botafogo
PREDICTION Flamengo Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Botafogo x Flamengo Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Supercopa

Our betting tip for Botafogo x Flamengo, Sunday, 2/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 2/2/2025
19:00
Botafogo Botafogo
3.18
X
3.20
Flamengo Flamengo
2.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Botafogo x Flamengo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Flamengo wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $1130.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Botafogo x Flamengo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $86.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $13.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Flamengo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Botafogo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Flamengo.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo x Flamengo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Botafogo x Flamengo for the Brazil Supercopa – 2 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Botafogo X Flamengo – Brazil Supercopa
๐Ÿ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Botafogo – Winning probability: 21.20% | Fair line: 4.72
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.67% | Fair line: 6.38
๐Ÿ”ด Flamengo – Winning probability: 63.12% | Fair line: 1.58
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botafogo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo x Flamengo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo x Flamengo

Should you bet on Botafogo?

๐Ÿ”ต Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $457.80
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$332.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $352.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$488.00.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

๐Ÿ”ด Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $793.80
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$423.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Flamengo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botafogo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Flamengo

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Botafogo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Flamengo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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