Botafogo x Flamengo Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Supercopa
๐
2/2/2025 19:00 |
![]() 3.18 |
X 3.20 |
Flamengo ![]() 2.26 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Botafogo x Flamengo:
๐ฎ Flamengo wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $1130.00!
Some important points for the tip for Botafogo x Flamengo: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $86.0. |

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Analysis from Botafogo x Flamengo for the Brazil Supercopa – 2 of February
๐๏ธ Botafogo X Flamengo – Brazil Supercopa |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo x Flamengo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo x Flamengo
Should you bet on Botafogo?
๐ต Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $457.80
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$332.20.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $352.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$488.00.
Should you bet on Flamengo?
๐ด Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $793.80
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$423.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Flamengo
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botafogo
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Flamengo
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Botafogo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Flamengo
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.