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Home » Predictions » Others » Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for March 9 in Bulgaria First League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 10h00 Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
PREDICTION Arda Kardzhali Wins Probability 36% 1 X 2
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
ODD: @3.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for March 9 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
10:00
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1.90
X
3.22
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali:

🔮 Arda Kardzhali wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arda Kardzhali, you can win up to $1950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Plovdiv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arda Kardzhali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Botev Plovdiv conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arda Kardzhali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Botev Plovdiv conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Arda Kardzhali.
👉 It is not a good time for Arda Kardzhali as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Arda Kardzhali won the last 4 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali for the Bulgaria First League – 9 of March

🏟️ Botev Plovdiv X Arda Kardzhali – Bulgaria First League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Botev Plovdiv – Winning probability: 35.01% | Fair line: 2.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.07% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 Arda Kardzhali – Winning probability: 36.93% | Fair line: 2.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botev Plovdiv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali

Is betting on Botev Plovdiv worth it?

🔵 Botev Plovdiv: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $621.60
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$98.40.

Is betting on Arda Kardzhali worth it?

🔴 Arda Kardzhali: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $1073.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$443.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botev Plovdiv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Botev Plovdiv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Botev Plovdiv.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Arda Kardzhali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botev Plovdiv x Arda Kardzhali

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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