Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad Betting tips for September 29 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:15

Botev Vratsa 10.00

X 5.75

Ludogorets Razgrad 1.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad:

🔮 Ludogorets Razgrad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ludogorets Razgrad, you can win up to $600.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ludogorets Razgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $2.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Vratsa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Botev Vratsa, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Ludogorets Razgrad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa, with Ludogorets Razgrad as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Ludogorets Razgrad has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Botev Vratsa.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad for the Bulgaria First League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad

Should you bet on Botev Vratsa?

🔵 Botev Vratsa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $4140.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$3600.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $142.50;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$827.50.

Should you bet on Ludogorets Razgrad?

🔴 Ludogorets Razgrad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $102.00;
• And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$388.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Botev Vratsa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Botev Vratsa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Botev Vratsa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -2.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 Botev Vratsa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botev Vratsa x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.