📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19
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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19:
Analysis from Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January
🏟️ Bourg-Peronnas U19 X Clermont Foot U19 – France U19 League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19
Is it a good idea to bet on Bourg-Peronnas U19?
🔵 Bourg-Peronnas U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $473.00
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $621.40
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$118.60.
Is betting on Clermont Foot U19 worth it?
🔴 Clermont Foot U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bourg-Peronnas U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bourg-Peronnas U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bourg-Peronnas U19.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Bourg-Peronnas U19.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bourg-Peronnas U19 x Clermont Foot U19
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves