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Home » Predictions » Others » Bouri x Umm Al Hassam Betting tips for January 12 in Bahrain Division 2
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h00 Bahrain Division 2
Bouri Bouri
PREDICTION No tip
Umm Al Hassam Umm Al Hassam
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Bouri x Umm Al Hassam Betting tips for January 12 in Bahrain Division 2

Our betting tip for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:00
Bouri Bouri
3.10
X
3.60
Umm Al Hassam Umm Al Hassam
1.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam

Important information for your tip for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bouri in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Umm Al Hassam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $817.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Umm Al Hassam scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bouri x Umm Al Hassam for the Bahrain Division 2 – 12 of January

🏟️ Bouri X Umm Al Hassam – Bahrain Division 2
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Bouri – Winning probability: 27.34% | Fair line: 3.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.23% | Fair line: 3.81
🔴 Umm Al Hassam – Winning probability: 46.43% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bouri
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bouri and Umm Al Hassam.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam

Is it worth betting on Bouri?

🔵 Bouri: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $676.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is betting on Umm Al Hassam worth it?

🔴 Umm Al Hassam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $432.40;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bouri x Umm Al Hassam

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bouri
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bouri, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Bouri.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Bouri.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bouri x Umm Al Hassam

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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