Brabrand x Næsby Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Division 3

Our betting tip for Brabrand x Næsby, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Brabrand 2.00

X 3.60

Næsby 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brabrand x Næsby:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Brabrand x Næsby

Important information for your tip for Brabrand x Næsby: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brabrand in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $855.0. 👉 Brabrand did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Brabrand scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Næsby conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Brabrand is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Brabrand x Næsby for the Denmark Division 3 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Brabrand x Næsby is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brabrand x Næsby

Is it a good idea to bet on Brabrand?

🔵 Brabrand: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $490.00;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $702.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Næsby?

🔴 Næsby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brabrand x Næsby

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brabrand
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brabrand x Næsby

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Brabrand and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Brabrand.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brabrand x Næsby

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.