📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Brackley x Chorley
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Analysis from Brackley x Chorley for the England National League North – 22 of January
🏟️ Brackley X Chorley – England National League North
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brackley x Chorley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Brackley x Chorley
Is betting on Brackley worth it?
🔵 Brackley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $303.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$416.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $337.50
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$512.50.
Should you bet on Chorley?
🔴 Chorley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $1225.50;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$795.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brackley x Chorley
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brackley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brackley x Chorley
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Brackley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Brackley. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brackley x Chorley
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves