Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Bracknell Town 2.52

X 3.68

Merthyr Town 2.23

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town

The main points for the tip for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bracknell Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Merthyr Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-81.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Merthyr Town scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Merthyr Town matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Merthyr Town conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Merthyr Town has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town for the England Southern Premier League South – 30 of November

When the best bet on Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town

Is it worth betting on Bracknell Town?

🔵 Bracknell Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $589.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.40.

Is betting on Merthyr Town worth it?

🔴 Merthyr Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $590.40
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$70.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Bracknell Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Bracknell Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bracknell Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Merthyr Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bracknell Town x Merthyr Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.