📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Bradford P A x Kettering
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Analysis from Bradford P A x Kettering for the England National League North – 22 of January
🏟️ Bradford P A X Kettering – England National League North
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bradford P A x Kettering right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bradford P A x Kettering
Is betting on Bradford P A worth it?
🔵 Bradford P A: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $471.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.00.
Should you bet on Kettering?
🔴 Kettering: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $605.00;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bradford P A x Kettering
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Bradford P A
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bradford P A x Kettering
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Bradford P A, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Bradford P A.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kettering.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bradford P A x Kettering
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves