π
15/1/2022 15:00 |
![]() 2.15 |
X 3.20 |
Salford City ![]() 3.42 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bradford x Salford City:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bradford x Salford City
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bradford x Salford City
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bradford x Salford City?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bradford x Salford City, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Bradford x Salford City for the England League 2 – 15 of January
ποΈ Bradford X Salford City – England League 2 |
When the best bet on Bradford x Salford City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bradford x Salford City
Is betting on Bradford worth it?
π΅ Bradford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$53.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$232.00.
Should you bet on Salford City?
π΄ Salford City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $677.60
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$42.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bradford x Salford City
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bradford
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bradford x Salford City
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bradford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bradford.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bradford x Salford City
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves