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16/1/2022 11:00 |
 Braga B2.17 |
X 3.21 |
CF Canelas 2010  3.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1604.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010
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Analysis from Braga B x CF Canelas 2010 for the Portugal Liga 3 – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Braga B X CF Canelas 2010 – Portugal Liga 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010
Should you bet on Braga B?
๐ต Braga B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $538.20;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐ฐ$1.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $772.80
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$122.80.
Is betting on CF Canelas 2010 worth it?
๐ด CF Canelas 2010: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $360.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$460.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Braga B x CF Canelas 2010
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Braga B
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Braga B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Braga B.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga B x CF Canelas 2010
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
