Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23 Betting tips for January 6 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23, Monday, 6/1/2025

📅 6/1/2025 11:00

Braga U23 1.50

X 3.90

CD Mafra U23 5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23

Some important points for the tip for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mafra U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Mafra U23 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 CD Mafra U23 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Mafra U23 conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for CD Mafra U23 as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 6 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242357 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23

Is it worth betting on Braga U23?

🔵 Braga U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $335.00
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$5.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $493.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$337.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Mafra U23?

🔴 CD Mafra U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $680.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Braga U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Braga U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Braga U23.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 CD Mafra U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga U23 x CD Mafra U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.