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21/1/2022 18:00 |
 Bramfelder SV9.20 |
X 5.80 |
SV Curslack-Neuengamme  1.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme:
๐ฎ Bramfelder SV wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bramfelder SV, you can win up to $4600.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme
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Analysis from Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme for the Germany Oberliga Hamburg – 21 of January
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๐๏ธ Bramfelder SV X SV Curslack-Neuengamme – Germany Oberliga Hamburg |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bramfelder SV and SV Curslack-Neuengamme.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme
Is betting on Bramfelder SV worth it?
๐ต Bramfelder SV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $2214.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$1484.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $432.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$478.00.
Is it worth betting on SV Curslack-Neuengamme?
๐ด SV Curslack-Neuengamme: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $126.40;
- And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$233.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Bramfelder SV
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Bramfelder SV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.0 Bramfelder SV.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.0 Bramfelder SV.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bramfelder SV x SV Curslack-Neuengamme
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
