📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23
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Analysis from Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23 for the England Premier League 2 – 21 of January
🏟️ Brighton U23 X Man Utd U23 – England Premier League 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290173 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23
Is it a good idea to bet on Brighton U23?
🔵 Brighton U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $418.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$271.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $334.10;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$535.90.
Is it worth betting on Man Utd U23?
🔴 Man Utd U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $840.00;
- And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Brighton U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Brighton U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Brighton U23.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Man Utd U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton U23 x Man Utd U23
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves