📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Brindisi x Audace Cerignola
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Analysis from Brindisi x Audace Cerignola for the Italy Serie D – 19 of January
🏟️ Brindisi X Audace Cerignola – Italy Serie D
When the best bet on Brindisi x Audace Cerignola is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Brindisi x Audace Cerignola
Is it worth betting on Brindisi?
🔵 Brindisi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $470.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $793.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$53.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Audace Cerignola?
🔴 Audace Cerignola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $281.60
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$78.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brindisi x Audace Cerignola
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Brindisi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brindisi x Audace Cerignola
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Brindisi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Brindisi.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brindisi x Audace Cerignola
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves