Brindisi x Nocerina Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Brindisi x Nocerina, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 15:00

Brindisi 5.74

X 3.75

Nocerina 1.48

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brindisi x Nocerina:

🔮 Nocerina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nocerina, you can win up to $740.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Brindisi x Nocerina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nocerina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $223.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nocerina scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Nocerina, Brindisi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Brindisi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Brindisi x Nocerina, with Brindisi as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Brindisi has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Nocerina.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Brindisi x Nocerina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brindisi x Nocerina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Brindisi x Nocerina for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

When the best bet on Brindisi x Nocerina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brindisi x Nocerina

Is it a good idea to bet on Brindisi?

🔵 Brindisi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $189.60;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$770.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is betting on Nocerina worth it?

🔴 Nocerina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $388.80;
• And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$198.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brindisi x Nocerina

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Brindisi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brindisi x Nocerina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Brindisi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Brindisi.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brindisi x Nocerina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.