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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bristol City x Sheff Wed Betting tips for October 2 in England Championship
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 16h00 England Championship
Bristol City Bristol City
PREDICTION Bristol City wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Sheff Wed Sheff Wed
ODD: @2.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Bristol City x Sheff Wed Betting tips for October 2 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Bristol City x Sheff Wed, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
16:00
Bristol City Bristol City
2.12
X
3.50
Sheff Wed Sheff Wed
3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bristol City x Sheff Wed:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bristol City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bristol City, you can win up to $1060.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bristol City x Sheff Wed:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bristol City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sheff Wed in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-83.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bristol City scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sheff Wed, Bristol City scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bristol City conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bristol City x Sheff Wed for the England Championship – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bristol City X Sheff Wed – England Championship
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Bristol City – Winning probability: 53.36% | Fair line: 1.87
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.11% | Fair line: 4.97
๐Ÿ”ด Sheff Wed – Winning probability: 26.53% | Fair line: 3.77
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bristol City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bristol City x Sheff Wed right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bristol City x Sheff Wed

Should you bet on Bristol City?

๐Ÿ”ต Bristol City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $593.60
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$123.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$300.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sheff Wed?

๐Ÿ”ด Sheff Wed: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $607.50;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$122.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bristol City x Sheff Wed

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bristol City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bristol City x Sheff Wed

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bristol City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bristol City. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bristol City x Sheff Wed

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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