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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Briton Ferry x Penybont Betting tips for August 11 in Wales Premier League
Sunday, 11 August 2024, 13h10 Wales Premier League
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
PREDICTION Penybont Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Penybont Penybont
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Briton Ferry x Penybont Betting tips for August 11 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Briton Ferry x Penybont, Sunday, 11/8/2024
๐Ÿ“… 11/8/2024
13:10
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
3.94
X
4.00
Penybont Penybont
1.66

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Briton Ferry x Penybont:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Penybont wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penybont, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Briton Ferry x Penybont:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Penybont in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Penybont scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Penybont, Briton Ferry scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Penybont matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Briton Ferry conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Penybont.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Briton Ferry has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Penybont playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Briton Ferry x Penybont?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Briton Ferry x Penybont:

Analysis from Briton Ferry x Penybont for the Wales Premier League – 11 of August

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Briton Ferry X Penybont – Wales Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 11 of August, 2024 – 13:10
๐Ÿ”ต Briton Ferry – Winning probability: 13.22% | Fair line: 7.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.92% | Fair line: 7.74
๐Ÿ”ด Penybont – Winning probability: 73.86% | Fair line: 1.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Briton Ferry
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Briton Ferry x Penybont right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1158858 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Briton Ferry x Penybont

Is betting on Briton Ferry worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Briton Ferry: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $382.20;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$487.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $390.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

Is betting on Penybont worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Penybont: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $488.40;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$228.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Briton Ferry x Penybont

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Briton Ferry
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Briton Ferry x Penybont

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Briton Ferry, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Briton Ferry.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Briton Ferry x Penybont

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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