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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bromsgrove x Alvechurch Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England Southern Premier League Central
Bromsgrove Bromsgrove
PREDICTION No tip
Alvechurch Alvechurch
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Bromsgrove x Alvechurch Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Bromsgrove Bromsgrove
2.40
X
3.27
Alvechurch Alvechurch
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch

The main points for the tip for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bromsgrove in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alvechurch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Bromsgrove matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Alvechurch conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bromsgrove conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Alvechurch.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Alvechurch as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bromsgrove x Alvechurch?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bromsgrove x Alvechurch, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bromsgrove x Alvechurch for the England Southern Premier League Central – 30 of November

🏟️ Bromsgrove X Alvechurch – England Southern Premier League Central
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Bromsgrove – Winning probability: 34.99% | Fair line: 2.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.14% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Alvechurch – Winning probability: 36.87% | Fair line: 2.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bromsgrove
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch

Should you bet on Bromsgrove?

πŸ”΅ Bromsgrove: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $635.60
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$84.40.

Is betting on Alvechurch worth it?

πŸ”΄ Alvechurch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$75.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bromsgrove x Alvechurch

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bromsgrove
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bromsgrove, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bromsgrove.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bromsgrove.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bromsgrove x Alvechurch

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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