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Home » Predictions » Others » BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Regionalliga North East
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Germany Regionalliga North East
BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
VSG Altglienicke VSG Altglienicke
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Regionalliga North East

Our betting tip for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:00
BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig
2.44
X
3.40
VSG Altglienicke VSG Altglienicke
2.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Important information for your tip for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke:

👉 If you had bet $100 on BSG Chemie Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VSG Altglienicke in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, BSG Chemie Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, BSG Chemie Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against VSG Altglienicke.
👉 Even as a visitor, VSG Altglienicke won the last 4 head-to-head matches BSG Chemie Leipzig´s territory

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke for the Germany Regionalliga North East – 29 of September

🏟️ BSG Chemie Leipzig X VSG Altglienicke – Germany Regionalliga North East
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
🔵 BSG Chemie Leipzig – Winning probability: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.91% | Fair line: 3.24
🔴 VSG Altglienicke – Winning probability: 40.19% | Fair line: 2.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 BSG Chemie Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke

Is it a good idea to bet on BSG Chemie Leipzig?

🔵 BSG Chemie Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $417.60;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$292.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.00.

Should you bet on VSG Altglienicke?

🔴 VSG Altglienicke: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 BSG Chemie Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 BSG Chemie Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 BSG Chemie Leipzig.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BSG Chemie Leipzig x VSG Altglienicke

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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