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Home » Predictions » Others » Burgos x Granada Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h15 Spain Segunda
Burgos Burgos
PREDICTION Granada Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Granada Granada
ODD: @2.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Burgos x Granada Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Burgos x Granada, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:15
Burgos Burgos
2.36
X
3.10
Granada Granada
2.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Burgos x Granada:

🔮 Granada wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Granada, you can win up to $1475.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Burgos x Granada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Burgos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Granada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Burgos x Granada?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Burgos x Granada, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Burgos x Granada for the Spain Segunda – 29 of September

🏟️ Burgos X Granada – Spain Segunda
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:15
🔵 Burgos – Winning probability: 37.40% | Fair line: 2.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.60% | Fair line: 4.07
🔴 Granada – Winning probability: 38.00% | Fair line: 2.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Burgos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Burgos x Granada is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Burgos x Granada

Should you bet on Burgos?

🔵 Burgos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $503.20
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$126.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is betting on Granada worth it?

🔴 Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $741.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$121.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Burgos x Granada

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Burgos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burgos x Granada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Burgos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Burgos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Granada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burgos x Granada

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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