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Home » Predictions » Others » Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
PREDICTION Burgos Promesas wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
ODD: @1.31 Don't miss this prediction!

Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
16:00
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
1.31
X
4.33
At. Bembibre At. Bembibre
9.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre:

🔮 Burgos Promesas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burgos Promesas, you can win up to $655.00!

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The main points for the tip for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on At. Bembibre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Burgos Promesas scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Burgos Promesas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, At. Bembibre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Burgos Promesas is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for At. Bembibre as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 30 of November

🏟️ Burgos Promesas X At. Bembibre – Spain Tercera Group 8
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Burgos Promesas – Winning probability: 92.08% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.29% | Fair line: 13.73
🔴 At. Bembibre – Winning probability: 0.63% | Fair line: 157.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Burgos Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Burgos Promesas and At. Bembibre.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre

Should you bet on Burgos Promesas?

🔵 Burgos Promesas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $285.20
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$205.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $233.10
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$696.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on At. Bembibre?

🔴 At. Bembibre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $82.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$908.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Burgos Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Burgos Promesas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Burgos Promesas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 At. Bembibre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burgos Promesas x At. Bembibre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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