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Home » Predictions » Others » Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas Betting tips for December 7 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 07 December 2025, 14h45 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
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Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
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Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas Betting tips for December 7 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas, Sunday, 7/12/2025
📅 7/12/2025
14:45
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
2.72
X
3.02
Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
2.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas

Some important points for the tip for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Burgos Promesas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid Promesas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Valladolid Promesas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Valladolid Promesas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Burgos Promesas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Valladolid Promesas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 7 of December

🏟️ Burgos Promesas X Valladolid Promesas – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 14:45
🔵 Burgos Promesas – Winning probability: 30.81% | Fair line: 3.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.94% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Valladolid Promesas – Winning probability: 38.24% | Fair line: 2.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Burgos Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449543 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas

Is it worth betting on Burgos Promesas?

🔵 Burgos Promesas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $533.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$156.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $626.20;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$63.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Valladolid Promesas?

🔴 Valladolid Promesas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $558.60;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$61.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Burgos Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Burgos Promesas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Burgos Promesas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Valladolid Promesas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burgos Promesas x Valladolid Promesas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves