📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd
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Analysis from Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd for the Thailand Cup – 19 of January
🏟️ Buriram United X Chiangrai Utd – Thailand Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Buriram United and Chiangrai Utd.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd
Should you bet on Buriram United?
🔵 Buriram United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $308.00
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $350.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.
Should you bet on Chiangrai Utd?
🔴 Chiangrai Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $698.60
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$161.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Buriram United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Buriram United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Buriram United.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Chiangrai Utd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Buriram United x Chiangrai Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Wednesday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves