Burnley x Plymouth Betting tips for October 1 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Burnley x Plymouth, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Burnley 1.44

X 4.75

Plymouth 6.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Burnley x Plymouth:

🔮 Burnley wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Burnley x Plymouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Plymouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Burnley scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Plymouth matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Plymouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Burnley x Plymouth?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Burnley x Plymouth, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Burnley x Plymouth for the England Championship – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Burnley and Plymouth.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192611 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Burnley x Plymouth

Is it worth betting on Burnley?

🔵 Burnley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $360.80;
• And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $262.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$667.50.

Is it worth betting on Plymouth?

🔴 Plymouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $605.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Burnley x Plymouth

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Burnley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burnley x Plymouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Burnley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Burnley.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Burnley.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burnley x Plymouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.