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16/1/2022 16:00 |
 Bursaspor2.75 |
X 3.27 |
Erzurum BB  2.30 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bursaspor x Erzurum BB:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1637.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Bursaspor x Erzurum BB
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Analysis from Bursaspor x Erzurum BB for the Turkey 1 Lig – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Bursaspor X Erzurum BB – Turkey 1 Lig |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bursaspor and Erzurum BB.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bursaspor x Erzurum BB
Is it worth betting on Bursaspor?
๐ต Bursaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$340.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $773.50;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$113.50.
Is it worth betting on Erzurum BB?
๐ด Erzurum BB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$34.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bursaspor x Erzurum BB
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Bursaspor
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bursaspor x Erzurum BB
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Bursaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Bursaspor.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Erzurum BB.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bursaspor x Erzurum BB
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
