Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 3.Lig Group 1

Our betting tip for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Bursaspor 1.54

X 3.64

Mus Spor FC 5.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC

Important information for your tip for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mus Spor FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $313.0. 👉 In the last 4 Bursaspor matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Mus Spor FC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 1 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Bursaspor?

🔵 Bursaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $356.40;
• And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$344.80.

Should you bet on Mus Spor FC?

🔴 Mus Spor FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $642.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bursaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bursaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bursaspor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bursaspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bursaspor x Mus Spor FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.