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Home » Predictions » Others » Burton Albion x Tamworth Betting tips for December 1 in England FA Cup
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 England FA Cup
Burton Albion Burton Albion
PREDICTION Burton Albion wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Tamworth Tamworth
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Burton Albion x Tamworth Betting tips for December 1 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Burton Albion x Tamworth, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
1.46
X
4.40
Tamworth Tamworth
6.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Burton Albion x Tamworth:

🔮 Burton Albion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burton Albion, you can win up to $730.00!

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The main points for the tip for Burton Albion x Tamworth:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Burton Albion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tamworth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tamworth conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Tamworth as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Burton Albion x Tamworth for the England FA Cup – 1 of December

🏟️ Burton Albion X Tamworth – England FA Cup
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Burton Albion – Winning probability: 84.67% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.37% | Fair line: 13.57
🔴 Tamworth – Winning probability: 7.96% | Fair line: 12.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Burton Albion
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Burton Albion and Tamworth.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Burton Albion x Tamworth

Is it worth betting on Burton Albion?

🔵 Burton Albion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $391.00;
  • And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$241.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $238.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$692.00.

Should you bet on Tamworth?

🔴 Tamworth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$500.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Burton Albion x Tamworth

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Burton Albion
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burton Albion x Tamworth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Burton Albion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Burton Albion.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Tamworth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burton Albion x Tamworth

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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