📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Buxton x Hereford FC
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Analysis from Buxton x Hereford FC for the England National League North – 21 of November
🏟️ Buxton X Hereford FC – England National League North
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Buxton and Hereford FC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Buxton x Hereford FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Buxton?
🔵 Buxton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $671.00;
- And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$281.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $460.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Hereford FC?
🔴 Hereford FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$442.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Buxton x Hereford FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Buxton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Buxton x Hereford FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Buxton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Buxton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Buxton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Buxton x Hereford FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves