Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani Betting tips for September 29 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

Bylis Ballsh 2.95

X 3.15

Af Elbasani 2.23

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani

The main points for the tip for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bylis Ballsh scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, AF Elbasani scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, AF Elbasani conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani for the Albania Championship – 29 of September

When the best bet on Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani

Is betting on Bylis Ballsh worth it?

🔵 Bylis Ballsh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$321.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $645.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is betting on Af Elbasani worth it?

🔴 Af Elbasani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $578.10;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$48.10, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bylis Ballsh
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bylis Ballsh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Bylis Ballsh. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bylis Ballsh x Af Elbasani

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.