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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre Betting tips for March 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 20h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Aldosivi CA Aldosivi
PREDICTION No tip
CA Tigre CA Tigre
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CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre Betting tips for March 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
20:00
CA Aldosivi CA Aldosivi
3.00
X
2.90
CA Tigre CA Tigre
2.47

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre

Some important points for the tip for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CA Aldosivi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $825.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Aldosivi scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 CA Aldosivi matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CA Aldosivi conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, CA Tigre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of March

🏟️ CA Aldosivi X CA Tigre – Argentina Liga Profesional
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ CA Aldosivi – Winning probability: 31.40% | Fair line: 3.18
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.84% | Fair line: 2.95
πŸ”΄ CA Tigre – Winning probability: 34.76% | Fair line: 2.88
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA Aldosivi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre

Is betting on CA Aldosivi worth it?

πŸ”΅ CA Aldosivi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$70.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Tigre?

πŸ”΄ CA Tigre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $514.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$135.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA Aldosivi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CA Aldosivi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CA Aldosivi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CA Tigre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Aldosivi x CA Tigre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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