CA Alvarado x Almagro Betting tips for March 16 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for CA Alvarado x Almagro, Sunday, 16/3/2025

📅 16/3/2025
20:00

CA Alvarado
1.93

X
2.90

Almagro

4.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA Alvarado x Almagro:

🔮 CA Alvarado wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Alvarado, you can win up to $965.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for CA Alvarado x Almagro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Alvarado in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almagro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 CA Alvarado did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Almagro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 CA Alvarado matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Almagro matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Almagro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Almagro as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on CA Alvarado x Almagro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Alvarado x Almagro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA Alvarado x Almagro for the Argentina Nacional B – 16 of March

🏟️ CA Alvarado X Almagro – Argentina Nacional B
📅 16 of March, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 CA Alvarado – Winning probability: 53.72% | Fair line: 1.86
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.55% | Fair line: 3.27
🔴 Almagro – Winning probability: 15.73% | Fair line: 6.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Alvarado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Alvarado x Almagro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Alvarado?

🔵 CA Alvarado: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $502.20;
And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$42.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 310 times – profiting $589.00;
And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Almagro?

🔴 Almagro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 160 times – profiting $531.20;
And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$308.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Alvarado x Almagro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Alvarado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA Alvarado and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Alvarado.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Almagro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.