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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Atenas x Cerrito Betting tips for April 12 in Uruguay Segunda
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 15h30 Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas CA Atenas
PREDICTION CA Atenas wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Cerrito Cerrito
ODD: @1.93 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Atenas x Cerrito Betting tips for April 12 in Uruguay Segunda

Our betting tip for CA Atenas x Cerrito, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
15:30
CA Atenas CA Atenas
1.93
X
3.10
Cerrito Cerrito
3.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Atenas x Cerrito:

🔮 CA Atenas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Atenas, you can win up to $965.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Atenas x Cerrito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Atenas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerrito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cerrito scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CA Atenas x Cerrito, with CA Atenas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Cerrito matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cerrito conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Cerrito as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Atenas x Cerrito for the Uruguay Segunda – 12 of April

🏟️ CA Atenas X Cerrito – Uruguay Segunda
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 CA Atenas – Winning probability: 54.58% | Fair line: 1.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.41% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Cerrito – Winning probability: 18.01% | Fair line: 5.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Atenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Atenas x Cerrito right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Atenas x Cerrito

Should you bet on CA Atenas?

🔵 CA Atenas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $511.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$61.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is betting on Cerrito worth it?

🔴 Cerrito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Atenas x Cerrito

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Atenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Atenas x Cerrito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CA Atenas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CA Atenas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CA Atenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Atenas x Cerrito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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