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Home » Predictions » CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
CA Brown de Adrogue CA Brown de Adrogue
PREDICTION CA Brown de Adrogue wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Sacachispas Sacachispas
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
18:00
CA Brown de Adrogue CA Brown de Adrogue
1.66
X
3.20
Sacachispas Sacachispas
5.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas:

🔮 CA Brown de Adrogue wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Brown de Adrogue, you can win up to $830.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Brown de Adrogue in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sacachispas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 CA Brown de Adrogue matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Sacachispas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

🏟️ CA Brown de Adrogue X Sacachispas – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 CA Brown de Adrogue – Winning probability: 61.95% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.04% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 Sacachispas – Winning probability: 10.01% | Fair line: 9.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA Brown de Adrogue and Sacachispas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

Is betting on CA Brown de Adrogue worth it?

🔵 CA Brown de Adrogue: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $409.20;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$29.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $616.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it worth betting on Sacachispas?

🔴 Sacachispas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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