CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 17:00

CA Brown de Adrogue 1.90

X 3.00

Sacachispas 4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

Important information for your tip for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Brown de Adrogue in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sacachispas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 CA Brown de Adrogue matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Sacachispas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

Should you bet on CA Brown de Adrogue?

🔵 CA Brown de Adrogue: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$197.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Should you bet on Sacachispas?

🔴 Sacachispas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $320.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CA Brown de Adrogue and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Brown de Adrogue.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CA Brown de Adrogue.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Brown de Adrogue x Sacachispas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.