CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman Betting tips for July 6 in Argentina Nacional B
| 📅 6/7/2025 20:10 |
 CA Guemes2.50 |
X 2.60 |
San Martin de Tucuman  3.05 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1300.00!
Some important points for the tip for CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Guemes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin de Tucuman in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $805.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Guemes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, San Martin de Tucuman scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Guemes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman for the Argentina Nacional B – 6 of July
🏟️ CA Guemes X San Martin de Tucuman – Argentina Nacional B
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 20:10
🔵 CA Guemes – Winning probability: 37.03% | Fair line: 2.7
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.12% | Fair line: 2.56
🔴 San Martin de Tucuman – Winning probability: 23.85% | Fair line: 4.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA Guemes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1349121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman
Is it worth betting on CA Guemes?
🔵 CA Guemes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$14.00.
Is it worth betting on San Martin de Tucuman?
🔴 San Martin de Tucuman: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $492.00
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$268.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA Guemes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 CA Guemes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CA Guemes.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 San Martin de Tucuman.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Guemes x San Martin de Tucuman
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
