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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador Betting tips for November 30 in Panama LPF
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 23h15 Panama LPF
CA Independiente de la Chorrera CA Independiente de la Chorrera
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Plaza Amador Plaza Amador
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador Betting tips for November 30 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
23:15
CA Independiente de la Chorrera CA Independiente de la Chorrera
2.55
X
2.70
Plaza Amador Plaza Amador
2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente de la Chorrera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $26.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Plaza Amador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CA Independiente de la Chorrera scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CA Independiente de la Chorrera conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Plaza Amador.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Plaza Amador has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador for the Panama LPF – 30 of November

🏟️ CA Independiente de la Chorrera X Plaza Amador – Panama LPF
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 23:15
🔵 CA Independiente de la Chorrera – Winning probability: 27.79% | Fair line: 3.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.86% | Fair line: 2.51
🔴 Plaza Amador – Winning probability: 32.36% | Fair line: 3.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador

Is betting on CA Independiente de la Chorrera worth it?

🔵 CA Independiente de la Chorrera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $434.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is betting on Plaza Amador worth it?

🔴 Plaza Amador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CA Independiente de la Chorrera.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CA Independiente de la Chorrera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x Plaza Amador

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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