CA Independiente x San Lorenzo Betting tips for January 16 in America Friendlies

Our betting tip for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo, Sunday, 16/1/2022

📅 16/1/2022 00:00

CA Independiente 2.19

X 3.05

San Lorenzo 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente x San Lorenzo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best bookies analysed by us in 2022. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from CA Independiente x San Lorenzo for the America Friendlies – 16 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

Is it worth betting on CA Independiente?

🔵 CA Independiente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $499.80
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $574.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$146.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on San Lorenzo?

🔴 San Lorenzo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA Independiente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CA Independiente.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente x San Lorenzo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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