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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 21h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Independiente CA Independiente
PREDICTION CA Independiente wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
21:00
CA Independiente CA Independiente
1.48
X
3.88
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
7.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan:

🔮 CA Independiente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Independiente, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin de San Juan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 San Martin de San Juan did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CA Independiente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 San Martin de San Juan matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 CA Independiente matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, San Martin de San Juan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CA Independiente is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for San Martin de San Juan as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 13 of April

🏟️ CA Independiente X San Martin de San Juan – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CA Independiente – Winning probability: 80.59% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.58% | Fair line: 6.03
🔴 San Martin de San Juan – Winning probability: 2.83% | Fair line: 35.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Independiente?

🔵 CA Independiente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $388.80;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$198.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $489.60;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on San Martin de San Juan?

🔴 San Martin de San Juan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 CA Independiente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 CA Independiente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 CA Independiente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente x San Martin de San Juan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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